NEW ORLEANS — Tropical Depression 13 is located near Africa. It will likely soon become Tropical Storm Lorenzo, and could become a hurricane in the next few days as it curves northwest over the central Atlantic. Right now models keep it out at sea.
Tropical Storm Karen remains in the eastern Caribbean Sea. It will move north toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Tuesday into Wednesday with heavy rain and gusty winds. At the end of the week, models show a ridge of high pressure building over the Atlantic which could guide Karen westward toward the US. It is too early to say how close to the US it will track. We will be tracking it closely and will keep you updated.
Tropical Storm Jerry is not strengthening at the moment, but it will likely still be a tropical storm when it gets close to Bermuda late Tuesday or Wednesday. It will then continue northeast out to sea.
2019 Hurricane Season Outlook
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.
Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.
IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.