NEW ORLEANS — Right now there are no areas in the Atlantic Basin that look likely to develop in the next several days.
One tropical wave near Africa has a low chance of development in the next few days, but it may encounter some obstacles and doesn't look likely to organize right now.
A series of tropical waves will be coming off the coast of Africa and moving west across the Atlantic in the next few weeks. These waves are common for this point in the summer, and we'll watch for potential development... but none look likely to develop at the moment.
NOAA released their August hurricane season forecast update and calls for an 'Extremely Active' season. The forecast calls for 19-25 named storms, 7-11 hurricanes and 3-6 major. These numbers already include the nine named storms and two hurricanes.
The reasons for the extremely active season:
• Warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Caribbean
• Enhanced West African Monsoon (rainy) season - causes tropical waves
• Possible La Nina forming in the months ahead
• Reduced wind shear over the Atlantic Basin - allows storms to develop
Now is the time to be prepared. Typically, the season becomes more active in the next few weeks with the peak on September 10th.
The expert forecasters at Colorado State have issued their August update on the 2020 hurricane season. Their forecast now calls for 24 named storms (including the nine already), 12 hurricanes (including the two already) and five major hurricanes.
That's an increase of four named storms, three hurricanes and one major hurricane.
Should there be 24 named storms, they would run out of names and have to go to the Greek alphabet, like they did in 2005.
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