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Target posts hefty fourth-quarter profit but sales suggest Americans remain cautious on spending

A 58% jump in profit was announced hours before Target's annual investor meeting which should offer clues about shopping behavior and strategies to improve sales.
Credit: AP
Target released its fourth-quarter results mere hours before holding its annual meeting with investors and analysts. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)

MINNEAPOLIS — Target reported a 58% increase in fourth-quarter profits and handily beat Wall Street expectations as the retailer cut costs and maintained a lean inventory.

Revenue rose slightly from a year ago and also topped projections. Comparable sales — those from stores or digital channels operating at least 12 months — slipped 4.4%. But declines appear to be slowing compared with the 4.9% drop in the third quarter and 5.4% drop in the second.

The Minneapolis company offered a cautious outlook on sales and profits.

The results came out just hours ahead of Target's annual investor meeting and should offer clues about its strategies for improving sales to customers being squeezed by inflation and high borrowing and credit card costs.

Target is more vulnerable than Walmart and other big box discounters. More than 50% of its annual sales come from discretionary items like toys, fashion and electronic gadgets, which many Americans have stopped buying.

Target has been trying to strike the right balance between offering good value, while also infusing the stores with trendy goods. Last month, the retailer launched a new collection called Dealworthy, which features nearly 400 everyday basics, starting at less than $1, with most items under $10. They include clothing and accessories, home items and electronics.

At the same time, Target's deal struck last year with designer Kendra Scott to offer exclusive collections of earrings, necklaces has resonated with shoppers. So has its new kitchenware brand under Target's own label Figmint.

The company said Tuesday that it was launching a membership program but didn't offer details.

Target has been laser-focused on inventory levels after being burdened with heavily stocked warehouses in the summer of 2022. The inventory glut forced it to discount heavily to clear out those goods.

Target reported net income of $1.38 billion ($2.98 per share) for the three-month period ending Feb. 3. That compared with $876 million, or $1.89 per share, for the year-ago period. The bottom-line results for the latest quarter well surpassed estimates of $2.42 per share, according to FactSet.

Revenue rose 1.7% to $31.92 billion, above projections of $31.83 billion.

Both store and online traffic combined fell 1.7% during the latest quarter, but that was an improvement from the 4.1% drop in the third quarter.

For the current quarter, Target expects a comparable sales decline of 3% to 5%. Analysts are expecting a 3.6% drop, according to FactSet. The discount retailer forecasted adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.70 to $2.10.

Analysts expect $2.08 per share.

For the full year, Target anticipates a modest increase in comparable sales in a range from unchanged to a 2% increase. Adjusted earnings per share should range from $8.60 to $9.60, Target said. Analysts are expecting $9.15 per share, according to FactSet.

Shares rose more than 9% early Tuesday.

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